The SportsMan Weekly NFL Picks (Week 6)
OK, clearly the NFL was in the Halloween mood during the first week of October because I got more trick than treat last week. An 8-6 record?? That’s as unacceptable as casting Ben Affleck as Batman. The hideous record brings the Sports Mans mark down to 49-28 for the season. Still winning more games than losing with a 64% rate but nothing to write home about. This is a bounce back week for me, I can feel it. It’s either that or indigestion I feel after watching my Giants look more disorganized than a monkey s**t fight at the zoo on Thursday night. A new feature along with my picks going forward on the season will be a “Fantasy Player To Watch” for each game. Now this player won’t be any obvious players. Peyton Manning, Jamaal Charles and/or Jimmy Graham will not appear. Rather a more obscure player that you may want to keep an eye on will be on the list. Well, here goes for week 6…
Cincinnati over Buffalo
EJ Manuel is out. Thad Lewis is starting. The Bengals can focus on stopping CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson. AJ Green needs to get more involved in the Bengals passing game and this the week he has the matchup to do it. Expect Cincy to pull away in the second half
FPTW-> Stevie Johnson. Johnson had almost no practice this week with a sore back. With Lewis throwing the ball for the Bills and Cincinnati only allowing 2 passing sores this season it’ll be interesting to see what Johnson can do.
Detroit over Cleveland
The Browns were playing like world beaters with Brian Hoyer under center. Unfortunately for Cleveland Hoyer is out the rest of the season and AARP president Brandon Weeden is back. Calvin Johnson should be back for the Lions and that’ll open it up for Reggie Bush. Detroit on the road
FPTW->Willis McGahee. McGahee had a nice game last week with 72 rushing yards and a TD (13.20 fantasy points in NFL.com). QB Brandon Weeden suck like vacuum on steroids so McGahee should get plenty of touches. Add to that he’s getting most of the goal line carries look for impressive numbers from him. He’s only owned in 50% of leagues
Kansas City over Oakland
The Chiefs are on a collision course with Denver for the division title. The Chiefs are tied for first in the league only allowing 58 points on the season. If Darren McFadden can’t go for the Raiders this one could get ugly. Chiefs are the better team in every aspect and get home field advantage
FPTW-> Denarius Moore. Moore was thrown to a team high 8 times last week. He has developed a solid relationship with QB Terrelle Pryor. Moore has scored 10+ points in 4 of 5 games this year with a score in three of those games. Start him in all leagues today
Minnesota over Carolina
While the Panthers have only allowed 58 points on the year they’ve only scored 74. That’s as disgusting looking as biscuits and gravy. Christian Ponder is out and Matt Cassel is in. Any one is better than Ponder and it showed as the Vikings won their first game of the season wit Matt. In the loud dome and at home give me the Vikings
FPTW-> Jerome Simpson. Simpson has had two games with 20+ points this year. The other two games he was held under 7 points. He saw the most targets with Cassel last game. The flip side is the Panthers have allowed the ninth fewest receiving yards this year. Simpson is a high-risk/high-reward option.
New York Jets over Pittsburgh
It’s hard to imagine the Steelers at 0-5. Then again it was hard to imagine the Giants at 0-6 but that happened. The Steelers are rested coming off a bye week but have to travel to New York for this one. The Jets are riding high after their upset on Monday night over Atlanta. This one will depend on which Geno Smith shows up. If it’s good Geno the Jets should be in love for the W
FPTW-> Jeremy Kerley. Kerley is coming off back-to-back weeks with 60+ yards. He even scored a TD last week. With no Santonio Holmes look for Kerley to be involved again this week. The downside is the Steelers being ranked 5th against the pass this season
Philadelphia over Tampa Bay
Bring in Tebow! Bring in Tebow! Yes, things are that bad in Tampa. Nick Foles will make the start for the Eagles and he fits into Chip Kellys system very nicel. He throws a nice ball and is smart on the field. The Eagles can focus their attention on stopping Doug Martin and keep the Bucs winless
FPTW-> Mike Williams. Williams has been limited with a hamstring injury this year. It would explain why he hasn’t topped more than 65 yards in a game and only has two receiving touchdowns. That being said, this game could become a shootout with the Eagles fast paced offense so Williams may get plenty of targets
Green Bay over Baltimore
Green Bay hasn’t looked like the powerhouse I expected them to be this year. I still think they have too many offensive weapons to drop this game to the Ravens. Baltimore lost to many people on defense this offseason and it shows. I’m expecting Aaron Rodgers to have a statement game, 250+ passing yards and three TDs
FPTW-> Marlon Brown. Brown is battling a thigh injury but fully expects to play this game. He is averaging 11.75 points a game and has scored in three of four weeks this year. If Rodgers puts up points like I expect look for the Ravens to throw the ball frequently. Could mean big numbers for Brown
Houston over St. Louis
Matt Schaub is getting the start for the Texans which means if you have the Rams DST in fantasy leagues you better start them. Schaubb throwing a pick six is almost as certain as Toonces the cat crashing his car. Houston still has a powerful running game and the Rams still have Sam Bradford. Both those facts should equal a Texans home win
FPTW->Tavon Austin. The rookie started off hot with 33.50 points in the first two weeks combined. However he has had only 5 catches the last two week combined, No ones fallen off that fast since David Caruso left “NYPD Blue”. Austin gets a matchup this week with the #1 ranked defense in the league. Temper expectations for the lad.
Denver over Jacksonville
David versus Goliath. The Spartans versus the Persian army, A pint of Guinness versus an irishman. Some matchups on paper just appear too one sided. This is one of them and it will deliver. The Jaguars are expected to lose the coin toss by 23 points. The only question in this game is when the Broncos start pulling starters. My Guess is six minutes into the first quarter
FPTW-> Chad Henne. In two starts Henne has thrown for 200+ yards in both games. Last week the Broncos defense allowed Tony Romo to throw for 500+ yards and 5 touchdowns. Now Henne isn’t Romo but expect a lot of pssing fro the Jags as they will be behind early and often. Denver has allowed opposing QBs the average 360+ passing yards.
Seattle over Tennessee
The Seahawks are coming off their first loss of the season and looking to remind people why they are Super Bowl contenders. This game in in Seattle where the Seahawks look nearly unbeatable. I wouldn’t expect a whole lot from Jake Locker and the Titans offense against the hard hitting Seattle defense.
FPTW-> Doug Baldwin. Golden Tate is Seattle’s top receiver but Baldwin is an interesting option. He has alternated double digit points every week this season. He is coming off a 5 catch game with 80 yards last week. While he only had one score this year it will be interesting to see if Baldwin can put together some consistency this week
New England over New Orleans
This is the game to watch. The Saints have such a high powered offense and tight end Jimmy Graham looks as unstoppable right now. Still, its too difficult to iagine the Patriots dropping back-to-back games with the second at home. This may be more of a gut feeling than an actual statistic based prediction but what the hell…no guts no glory. Look for the Saints to fall from unbeaten
FPYW-> Pierre Thomas. Thomas scored 29.10 fantasy points last week. Nearly as many in the prior three weeks combined. He had 19 carries last week which was his most since 2010 so don’t expect the same numbers. He also looses touches to backfield mate Darren Sproles. He’s a risky start
San Francisco over Arizona
The Cardinals looked rather impressive last week against Carolina. Against Carolina. The 49ers ain’t the Panthers. San Francisco forced five turnovers last week and looked totally in synch on offense. Vernon Davis had 88 yards and a score. I’d look for QB Colin Kaepernick to get him involved early and often in this one. Cardinals can’t upset this one on the road
FPTW-> Rashard Mendenahll. He split downs evely with backfield mate Andre Ellington last week. He was still out gained though 83 total yards to 50. The Cardinals lone rushing TD came from Rashard though. He is not the passing down back in the offense and unless he scores on the day his points are anemic.
Dallas over Washington
Breaking News*** The NFC East sucks this year. OK, maybe not breaking but still a fact. The Sunday night game should still be pretty good though. Romo is coming off a career game but a late interception resulted in a Dallas loss. They’ll try to get back into the win column at home against a banged up RGIII and a defense that is down faster than a thermometer on a winter morning. I’m taking DeMarco Murray to have 100+ yards and two touchdowns in this one en route to a Cowboys win
FPYW-> Miles Austin. Austin practiced al week after missing two games with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but keep in mind that the first three week he combined for only 15 catches and 125 yards. The Redskins stink on ice against the pass allowing 222.8 yard per game with 5 scores. If he’s healthy Miles can go for miles against this D (see what I did there??)
Indianapolis over San Diego
The Colts handed Seattle their first loss last week and now travel to San Diego. The Chargers look like the inconsistent Norv Turner Chargers last week dropping a winnable game to the Raiders. San Diego’s pass defense is extremely weak and Andrew Luck should have no trouble picking them apart. Rivers will throw often and it should be a shootout but I like Indy on the road for Monday night
FPTW-> Keenan Allen. Allen was thrown to only four times the first two week. He’s been thrown to fifteen in the past two. Last week he had a monster game with 6 catches for 115 yards. He will definitely be tested this week against a Colts defense that hasn’t allowed multiple passing touchdowns to any team except Seattle last team.
Joe Namath Guarantee Of The Week–>Improved to 5-0 last week with the Chiefs come from behind win. Staying perfect this week should be a piece of cake. For the third week in a row I’m taking the Jaguars opponent. Give me Denver is a win as lopsided as Tara Reid’s chest. Seriously, Google it, they’re terrible!!