We are a day away from the 2013 NFL regular season. With the opening of the season also comes the beginning of the fantasy season. We start off with an excellent matchup, as the Broncos face the Super Bowl champion Ravens. I will post my week 1 fantasy studs and duds tomorrow. Today, I am going to make a few bold predictions that you may find surprising. It’s possible that many of these end up being wrong, but as of right now, I have a few hunches. I’ll re-visit this list at the conclusion of the season to see how accurate they were.
- Steven Jackson will disappoint fantasy owners and finish with less than 8 touchdowns. Normally, 8 TDs would be a solid season, but Jackson is being over drafted in my opinion and won’t live up to his second round ADP. The Atlanta O-line worries me and even with the offensive weapons, I think age finally catches up to Jackson and he finishes with less than 1,100 yards and 8 TDs.
- Adrian Peterson proves that he is not human and again flirts with a 2,000 yard season. While it’s almost impossible to duplicate what he did last year, AP comes closer than expected and is in the top two in RB scoring.
- Darren McFadden plays less than 6 games after getting destroyed behind the terrible Oakland offensive line. In the games that he does play, he performs admirably and further tantalizes his owners as to what could have been if he played a full 16 game schedule.
- Hakeem Nicks plays over 13 games and sets career highs in yards and TDs. Even though he has been seemingly banged up every week, I think this is finally the year he shows his true potential and stays healthy, conveniently just in time for a new contract.
- In a PPR format, Matt Forte is the top scoring back because he catches over 90 passes and finally gets some goal line work in Marc Trestman’s offense.
- Aaron Rodgers doesn’t finish in the top 4 of QB scoring, as Brees, Peyton, Brady and Kaepernick all finish ahead of him. While still an outstanding talent, his season doesn’t justify his high ADP.
- LeSean McCoy becomes the biggest bust of the first round RBs, as Chip Kelly’s offense sputters and he barely manages 1,000 yards to go with 6 touchdowns.
- Brandon Meyers becomes the latest Giants TE to be productive with Eli and finishes in the top 7 at the end of the year.
- Rob Gronkowski is dynamite when he plays, but is unfortunately hampered by injuries all season and only suits up for 9 games.
- His counterpart in New England, Zach Sudfeld, proves to be over hyped in the preseason and finishes outside of the top 15 in TE scoring at the end of the season.
- Marshawn Lynch shows signs of wear and tear and concedes carries to Christine Michael, who starts to pose a legitimate threat to Lynch by the last month of the season. In fact, it may even cause rumblings of a time share because of how effective Michael is.
- Danny Amendola plays less than 8 games after getting hurt yet again. He is a top PPR option when healthy, but spends just as much time on the sidelines as he does on the field.
- Because of garbage time stats, Terrelle Pryor turns in a top-15 QB season as he has no choice but to throw constantly and run for his life in a very bad Raiders offense.
- The top scoring RB in non-PPR formats is Arian Foster. He has a lighter workload, but is more effective and runs for 1,400 yards and 14 TDs, which is a combo that not even AP can top.
- The top scoring fantasy rookie will be Giovani Bernard after he supplants BJGE as the starter by week 3. Montee Ball doesn’t get a consistent workload, Le’Veon Bell is battling injuries all year, and Eddie Lacy isn’t very effective behind a porous Packers offensive line.